Valletta FCvs
Marsaxlokk
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 8/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valletta FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Valletta FC 1-2 Marsaxlokk
Original prediction
Valletta FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.2% | 44.3% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.5% | 28.3% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.44 | 26.3% | 27.5% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Valletta FC
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Valletta FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60