Valletta FCvs
Hamrun Spartans
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 10/25/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valletta FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Valletta FC 1-2 Hamrun Spartans
Original prediction
Valletta FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.41 | 37.6% | 56.7% | 19.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.5% | 23.2% | -6.4 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 32.9% | 20.2% | -12.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Valletta FC
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
56.7%
Valletta FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20