Valletta FCvs
Balzan FC
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 9/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valletta FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Valletta FC 2-2 Balzan FC
Original prediction
Valletta FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 54.9% | 47.5% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.4% | 26.3% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.85 | 18.7% | 26.2% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Valletta FC
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Valletta FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80