GGOALVIO

Colombia · Copa Colombia · 2/14/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Valledupar are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Jaguares are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DWLD), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Jaguares hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the Copa Colombia, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.0%

Model confidence

36.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValleduparDL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
JaguaresDWLD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.25/1.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
ValleduparJaguares
0.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence75.0
0.0Form33.3
21.5Power47.1
0.92xG1.12
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