GGOALVIO

Spain · Segunda División · 8/11/2023, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Valladolid are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sporting Gijon are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Valladolid hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValladolidDWLWL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting GijonLDDLD

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
ValladolidSporting Gijon
40.5Attack38.6
71.4Defence67.4
57.1Form50.0
57.8Power53.6
0.86xG0.59
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