Valladolidvs
Oviedo
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 9/13/2026, 2:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Valladolid 0-0 Oviedo, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Valladolid 0-3 Oviedo
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 37.4% | 35.5% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.92 | 31.7% | 33.1% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.00 | 30.9% | 31.4% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Projected Score
Valladolid 0–0 Oviedo
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.1%
Model confidence
35.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ValladolidWDLLW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
OviedoDWLDW
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ValladolidOviedo
40.5Attack42.0
71.4Defence70.3
57.1Form51.4
57.8Power55.7
0.78xG0.65