Valladolidvs
FC Andorra
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 9/5/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valladolid · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Valladolid 1-0 FC Andorra, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Valladolid 1-0 FC Andorra
Original prediction
Valladolid
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 41.6% | 50.4% | 8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 28.5% | 29.7% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 29.8% | 19.9% | -9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Projected Score
Valladolid 1–0 FC Andorra
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Valladolid
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Valladolid has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ValladolidDLLWW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC AndorraLLWLW
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ValladolidFC Andorra
40.5Attack26.2
71.4Defence57.9
57.1Form34.1
57.8Power42.0
1.15xG0.39