Valladolidvs
Eldense
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 10/18/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valladolid · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Valladolid 2-3 Eldense
Original prediction
Valladolid
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 07:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 48.8% | 47.9% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.8% | 27.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.99 | 23.3% | 24.9% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Valladolid
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Valladolid has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00