Valladolidvs
Cordoba
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 9/27/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valladolid · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Valladolid 3-1 Cordoba
Original prediction
Valladolid
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 40.1% | 38.0% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.8% | 28.3% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.91 | 32.1% | 33.7% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Valladolid
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Valladolid has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00