Valladolidvs
Albacete
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 10/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valladolid · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Valladolid 1-0 Albacete, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Valladolid 5-0 Albacete
Original prediction
Valladolid
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 17:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 47.3% | 47.6% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 28.1% | 28.3% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.77 | 24.7% | 24.1% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Projected Score
Valladolid 1–0 Albacete
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Valladolid
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Valladolid has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ValladolidDWDLW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AlbaceteLLLDL
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ValladolidAlbacete
33.3Attack20.8
54.2Defence37.5
37.5Form4.2
43.9Power24.9
1.45xG0.69