Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viking · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Valerenga are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Viking are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Viking hold a 33.8-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 77.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Eliteserien, while Viking holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Viking
Probability
77.3%
Model confidence
10.2%
Viking has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80