Valerengavs
Sarpsborg 08 FF
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 5/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valerenga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Valerenga are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Sarpsborg 08 FF are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sarpsborg 08 FF hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Eliteserien, while Valerenga holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Valerenga
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Valerenga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60