GGOALVIO

Norway · Eliteserien · 5/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Valerenga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Valerenga are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Sarpsborg 08 FF are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sarpsborg 08 FF hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Eliteserien, while Valerenga holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Valerenga

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

Valerenga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValerengaLDLLD

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sarpsborg 08 FFWLLLD

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ValerengaSarpsborg 08 FF
54.9Attack39.6
33.3Defence56.3
41.2Form45.8
44.0Power49.6
1.53xG1.48
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