EliteserienEliteserien
Friday, 31 July 202618:00Updated today
Valerenga

Valerenga

Home
WL
vs
18:00
Ham-Kam

Ham-Kam

Away
D
Intility Arena
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Valerenga(44%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Valerenga
44%
Draw
27%
Ham-Kam
29%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Valerenga
94
Ham-Kam
73
Defence
Valerenga
14
Ham-Kam
27
Momentum
Valerenga
50
Ham-Kam
33
Danger (xG)
Valerenga
3.09
Ham-Kam
0.99
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Valerenga)
3.09
avg per match
xG for (Ham-Kam)
0.99
avg per match
xG against (Valerenga)
1.15
avg per match
xG against (Ham-Kam)
1.40
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ValerengaValerenga
WLD
Ham-KamHam-Kam
DL

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Valerenga44%
Draw27%
Ham-Kam29%

Valerenga leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Valerenga head into this in Eliteserien fixture at Intility Arena in mixed form (WL), while Ham-Kam arrive in mixed form (D). Valerenga have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Ham-Kam over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Valerenga (94/100) and Ham-Kam (73/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Valerenga have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 4.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. Ham-Kam have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Valerenga have generated 0.78 xG per game recently while conceding 1.39 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Ham-Kam have generated 0.99 xG per game recently while conceding 1.40 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Valerenga and Ham-Kam in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Valerenga to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Valerenga 4417%, Draw 2695%, Ham-Kam 2888%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Valerenga

Valerenga

W
vs Aalesund
16 Jul 2026
61
L
@ Tromso
11 Jul 2026
04
xG 0.8
D
vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
16 May 2026
22
Ham-Kam

Ham-Kam

D
@ Sandefjord
12 Jul 2026
22
xG 1.0
L
@ Fredrikstad
16 May 2026
12

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Valerenga vs Ham-Kam?

GoalVio's model predicts Valerenga to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Valerenga vs Ham-Kam?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Valerenga vs Ham-Kam?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Valerenga vs Ham-Kam?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more