Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brann · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Valerenga 3-1 Brann
Original prediction
Brann
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 40.6% | 32.8% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 24.2% | 20.1% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 2.64 | 35.3% | 47.1% | 11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Brann
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Brann has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ValerengaLDWLD
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BrannWLLWW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ValerengaBrann
53.0Attack59.1
31.8Defence48.5
34.8Form43.9
41.1Power50.7
1.73xG2.29