Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valenzana · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Valenzana 3-2 Saluzzo
Original prediction
Valenzana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 35.6% | 37.2% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.2% | 29.4% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.2% | 33.4% | -1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Valenzana
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Valenzana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ValenzanaL
GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00
BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
SaluzzoDLDWD
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ValenzanaSaluzzo
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.32xG1.12