GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/13/2025, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Valentine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Valentine are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while New Lambton are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Valentine hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 23.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Valentine holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Valentine

Probability

53.5%

Model confidence

53.5%

Valentine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValentineDLLWD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
New LambtonLDWLL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
ValentineNew Lambton
34.9Attack37.9
38.1Defence7.6
39.7Form18.2
40.1Power23.6
2.12xG1.25
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