Valentinevs
New Lambton
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/25/2024, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valentine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Valentine are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded, while New Lambton are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Valentine hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 23.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Valentine holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Valentine
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Valentine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00