Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Valentine are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Maitland are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 20.0-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maitland
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60