GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/15/2023, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lambton Jaffas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Valentine are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lambton Jaffas are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lambton Jaffas hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.5% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Lambton Jaffas holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lambton Jaffas

Probability

52.5%

Model confidence

52.5%

Lambton Jaffas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValentineLWDLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lambton JaffasWWWDW

GF 18 · GA 3 · avg 3.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ValentineLambton Jaffas
34.9Attack57.1
38.1Defence47.6
39.7Form34.9
40.1Power46.2
1.20xG2.01
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