GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/27/2024, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lambton Jaffas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Valentine are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lambton Jaffas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lambton Jaffas hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.5% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Lambton Jaffas holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lambton Jaffas

Probability

52.5%

Model confidence

52.5%

Lambton Jaffas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValentineDLLDW

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Lambton JaffasWLLWW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ValentineLambton Jaffas
34.9Attack57.1
38.1Defence47.6
39.7Form34.9
40.1Power46.2
1.20xG2.01
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