GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/6/2023, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Valentine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Valentine are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Valentine hold a 25.1-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 14.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.9% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Valentine holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Valentine

Probability

60.9%

Model confidence

60.9%

Valentine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValentineWLLDW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Lake MacquarieLDLLL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ValentineLake Macquarie
34.9Attack30.3
38.1Defence0.0
39.7Form6.1
40.1Power14.9
2.18xG0.98
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