GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 3/16/2024, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Valentine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Valentine are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Valentine hold a 25.1-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 14.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.9% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Valentine holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Valentine

Probability

60.9%

Model confidence

60.9%

Valentine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValentineWWWLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Lake MacquarieLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ValentineLake Macquarie
34.9Attack30.3
38.1Defence0.0
39.7Form6.1
40.1Power14.9
2.18xG0.98
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