GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/24/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamilton Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Valentine are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Hamilton Olympic are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Hamilton Olympic hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 44.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Hamilton Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamilton Olympic

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Hamilton Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValentineLLWWL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Hamilton OlympicDWWWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
ValentineHamilton Olympic
34.9Attack61.9
38.1Defence39.7
39.7Form33.3
40.1Power44.3
1.39xG2.16
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