GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 3/8/2025, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamilton Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Valentine are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Hamilton Olympic are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Hamilton Olympic hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 44.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Hamilton Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamilton Olympic

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Hamilton Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValentineWLDLL

GF 10 · GA 18 · avg 2.00/3.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Hamilton OlympicDDWLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ValentineHamilton Olympic
34.9Attack61.9
38.1Defence39.7
39.7Form33.3
40.1Power44.3
1.39xG2.16
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