GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/22/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamilton Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Valentine are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Hamilton Olympic are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hamilton Olympic hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 44.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Hamilton Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamilton Olympic

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Hamilton Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValentineLLLLW

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Hamilton OlympicDWWLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ValentineHamilton Olympic
34.9Attack61.9
38.1Defence39.7
39.7Form33.3
40.1Power44.3
1.39xG2.16
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