GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/29/2023, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Edgeworth Eagles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Valentine are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Edgeworth Eagles are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Edgeworth Eagles hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Edgeworth Eagles holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Edgeworth Eagles

Probability

63.6%

Model confidence

63.6%

Edgeworth Eagles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValentineLDWDL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Edgeworth EaglesDWWLL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ValentineEdgeworth Eagles
34.9Attack63.5
38.1Defence54.0
39.7Form61.9
40.1Power62.1
1.00xG2.35
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