GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 6/10/2023, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Valentine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Valentine are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Charlestown City Blues are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Valentine hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 28.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Valentine holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Valentine

Probability

50.4%

Model confidence

50.4%

Valentine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValentineWDLLW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Charlestown City BluesLWDWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ValentineCharlestown City Blues
34.9Attack39.7
38.1Defence14.3
39.7Form22.2
40.1Power28.4
2.05xG1.33
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