GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/5/2025, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Valentine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Valentine are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Charlestown City Blues are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Valentine hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 28.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Valentine holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Valentine

Probability

50.4%

Model confidence

50.4%

Valentine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValentineLWLWL

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Charlestown City BluesDLDWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ValentineCharlestown City Blues
34.9Attack39.7
38.1Defence14.3
39.7Form22.2
40.1Power28.4
2.05xG1.33
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