GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/18/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Valentine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Valentine are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Charlestown City Blues are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Valentine hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 28.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Valentine holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Valentine

Probability

50.4%

Model confidence

50.4%

Valentine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValentineLWWDL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Charlestown City BluesWWDWD

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ValentineCharlestown City Blues
34.9Attack39.7
38.1Defence14.3
39.7Form22.2
40.1Power28.4
2.05xG1.33
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