GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/13/2023, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Broadmeadow Magic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Valentine are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Broadmeadow Magic are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Broadmeadow Magic hold a 31.8-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 71.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Broadmeadow Magic holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Broadmeadow Magic

Probability

79.0%

Model confidence

79.0%

Broadmeadow Magic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValentineWWLLD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Broadmeadow MagicLWDDL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ValentineBroadmeadow Magic
34.9Attack81.0
38.1Defence63.5
39.7Form73.0
40.1Power71.8
0.77xG3.08
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