GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 2/21/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belmont Swansea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Valentine are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Belmont Swansea are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.3% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Belmont Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belmont Swansea

Probability

58.3%

Model confidence

58.3%

Belmont Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValentineWWDLL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Belmont SwanseaDLWDL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ValentineBelmont Swansea
34.9Attack71.4
38.1Defence34.9
39.7Form55.6
40.1Power55.7
1.44xG2.60
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