GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 3/1/2025, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belmont Swansea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Valentine are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Belmont Swansea are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.3% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Belmont Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belmont Swansea

Probability

58.3%

Model confidence

58.3%

Belmont Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValentineLDLLW

GF 11 · GA 17 · avg 2.20/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Belmont SwanseaDWLWW

GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ValentineBelmont Swansea
34.9Attack71.4
38.1Defence34.9
39.7Form55.6
40.1Power55.7
1.44xG2.60
View match centre →