GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/3/2024, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adamstown Rosebuds · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Valentine are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Adamstown Rosebuds are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 40.1 against 40.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Adamstown Rosebuds holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adamstown Rosebuds

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Adamstown Rosebuds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValentineWDLLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Adamstown RosebudsLLLLD

GF 2 · GA 19 · avg 0.40/3.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
ValentineAdamstown Rosebuds
34.9Attack49.2
38.1Defence31.7
39.7Form33.3
40.1Power40.1
1.58xG1.71
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