Valenciennesvs
Fleury 91
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 9/12/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fleury 91 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Valenciennes 1-2 Fleury 91
Original prediction
Fleury 91
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 39.9% | 32.6% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.6% | 28.2% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 31.4% | 39.1% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.89 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Fleury 91
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Fleury 91 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20