Valenciennesvs
Concarneau
SCHEDULEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 8/29/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valenciennes · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Valenciennes are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Concarneau are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Concarneau hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Ligue 3, while Valenciennes holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Valenciennes
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
14.2%
Valenciennes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00