Valenciennesvs
Concarneau
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 8/29/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Concarneau · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Valenciennes 0-0 Concarneau
Original prediction
Concarneau
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 39.8% | 34.8% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.5% | 28.9% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 30.8% | 36.3% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Concarneau
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Concarneau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00