GGOALVIO

France · Ligue 3 · 8/29/2026, 12:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Valenciennes · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Valenciennes are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Concarneau are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Concarneau hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Ligue 3, while Valenciennes holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Valenciennes

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

14.2%

Valenciennes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValenciennesWLDWD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ConcarneauDLWWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ValenciennesConcarneau
0.0Attack0.0
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
7.0Power15.3
1.30xG1.17
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