GGOALVIO

France · Ligue 2 · 8/5/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Auxerre · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Valenciennes are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Auxerre are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Auxerre hold a 30.5-point power-rating edge (35.5 v 66.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.1% in the Ligue 2, while Auxerre holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Auxerre

Probability

67.1%

Model confidence

67.1%

Auxerre has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ValenciennesDDLW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
AuxerreDWLWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ValenciennesAuxerre
22.8Attack63.2
51.8Defence68.4
23.7Form64.9
35.5Power66.0
0.46xG1.83
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