Valenciennesvs
Amiens
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 10/17/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Amiens · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Valenciennes 0-1 Amiens, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Valenciennes 1-1 Amiens
Original prediction
Amiens
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 35.0% | 21.1% | -14.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.3% | 27.2% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.53 | 35.7% | 51.8% | 16.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.1 pts
Projected Score
Valenciennes 0–1 Amiens
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Amiens
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Amiens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ValenciennesLWLLD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AmiensWDWDW
GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ValenciennesAmiens
33.3Attack44.4
48.1Defence88.9
29.6Form55.6
39.1Power62.3
0.56xG1.33