Valencia Wvs
Real Sociedad W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 10/4/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Sociedad W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Valencia W 0-1 Real Sociedad W
Original prediction
Real Sociedad W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.50 | 20.1% | 31.0% | 11.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.6% | 24.7% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.60 | 56.3% | 44.2% | -12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Real Sociedad W
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Real Sociedad W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20