Valencia Wvs
Granad. Tenerife W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 9/27/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Granad. Tenerife W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Valencia W 1-2 Granad. Tenerife W
Original prediction
Granad. Tenerife W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.04 | 22.3% | 34.7% | 12.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.6% | 26.5% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.80 | 50.1% | 38.8% | -11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Granad. Tenerife W
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Granad. Tenerife W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80