Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:05
Valencia

Valencia

Home
W
12
Full time
Castellón

Castellón

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Castellón33%
Valencia33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Valencia
33%
Draw
33%
Castellón
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Valencia
94
Castellón
73
Defence
Valencia
66
Castellón
6
Momentum
Valencia
100
Castellón
0
Danger (xG)
Valencia
1.48
Castellón
1.15
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Valencia)
1.48
avg per match
xG for (Castellón)
1.15
avg per match
xG against (Valencia)
1.52
avg per match
xG against (Castellón)
1.63
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ValenciaValencia
W
CastellónCastellón
LD

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Valencia33%
Draw33%
Castellón33%

Castellón leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Valencia head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (W), while Castellón arrive in mixed form (L). Valencia have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Castellón over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Valencia (94/100) and Castellón (73/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Valencia have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Castellón have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

Valencia have generated 1.48 xG per game recently while conceding 1.52 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Castellón have generated 1.15 xG per game recently while conceding 1.63 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Valencia and Castellón in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Valencia 3333%, Draw 3333%, Castellón 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Valencia

Valencia

W
vs Barcelona
23 May 2026
31
xG 1.5
Castellón

Castellón

L
@ Almeria
9 Jun 2026
23
xG 1.1
D
vs Cadiz
15 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Valencia vs Castellón?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Valencia vs Castellón?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Valencia vs Castellón?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Valencia vs Castellón?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more