Valencia IIvs
Penya Independent
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 9/17/2023, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valencia II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Valencia II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Penya Independent are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Valencia II hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (51.3 v 40.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.4% in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3, while Valencia II holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Valencia II
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
56.4%
Valencia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 0 · GA 10 · avg 0.00/2.00