Valencia IIvs
Peña Deportiva
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 10/4/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valencia II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Valencia II 3-2 Peña Deportiva
Original prediction
Valencia II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 50.2% | 42.4% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.1% | 28.4% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.86 | 23.7% | 29.1% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Valencia II
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Valencia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00