Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ÅIFK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
VaKP are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while ÅIFK are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and ÅIFK hold a 44.7-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 51.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.1% in the Suomen Cup, while ÅIFK holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ÅIFK
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
7.1%
ÅIFK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 16 · GA 11 · avg 3.20/2.20