Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vaduz III · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Vaduz III are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WLDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Ruggell are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 8.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vaduz III hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (40.6 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Cup, while Vaduz III holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vaduz III
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Vaduz III has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.50
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/8.00