Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Balzers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Vaduz III are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Balzers are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Balzers hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (40.6 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Cup, while Balzers holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Balzers
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Balzers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 2.50/1.00
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40