Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pescara · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vado 0-1 Pescara
Original prediction
Pescara
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.49 | 25.9% | 29.0% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.8% | 29.5% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 47.3% | 41.5% | -5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
Pescara
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Pescara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VadoLLLLD
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PescaraDLDLW
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
VadoPescara
50.0Attack48.2
50.0Defence69.3
50.0Form58.8
50.0Power60.4
0.84xG1.19