Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
vaasa PS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
vaasa PS are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Umeå FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and vaasa PS hold a 53.8-point power-rating edge (80.0 v 26.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while vaasa PS holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
vaasa PS
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
vaasa PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00