Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
vaasa PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
VPS are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Turku PS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and VPS hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (56.9 v 51.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.9% in the Veikkausliiga, while VPS holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
vaasa PS
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
16.9%
vaasa PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00