Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
21%
HighconfidenceVPS are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lahti are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and VPS hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (56.9 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Veikkausliiga, favouring a draw with 21.2% confidence, a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
21.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VPSWLLLW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LahtiDWLWW
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
VPSLahti
47.4Attack40.7
68.4Defence70.4
52.6Form46.3
56.9Power53.0
0.92xG0.70