Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
vaasa PS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while KuPS are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 67.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Veikkausliiga, while KuPS holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KuPS
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
KuPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40